ADVANTAGES OF FORECASTING ECONOMIC PROCESSES USING THE ARIMA MODEL IN PYTHON

Authors

  • Normamatova Yulduz

Keywords:

Python, ARIMA model, econometric modeling, forecasting, time series, wheat, agriculture, statsmodels.

Abstract

 This thesis highlights the advantages of forecasting economic  processes using the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model  implemented in the Python programming language. The empirical part of the study  uses official statistical data on wheat production in the Surkhandarya Region for  2010–2024. 

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References

1. Box G. E. P., Jenkins G. M., Reinsel G. C., Ljung G. M. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. 5th Edition. John Wiley & Sons, 2015.

2. Hyndman R. J., Athanasopoulos G. Forecasting: Principles and Practice. 3rd Edition. OTexts, 2021.

3. Hamilton J. D. Time Series Analysis. Princeton University Press, 1994.

4. McKinney W. Python for Data Analysis. 3rd Edition. O'Reilly Media, 2022.

5. Seabold S., Perktold J. Statsmodels: Econometric and Statistical Modeling with Python. Proceedings of the 9th Python in Science Conference, 2010.

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Published

2026-08-21

How to Cite

ADVANTAGES OF FORECASTING ECONOMIC PROCESSES USING THE ARIMA MODEL IN PYTHON . (2026). INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC INNOVATION RESEARCH CONFERENCE, 1(4), 41-48. https://universalconference.us/index.php/isirc/article/view/7684