Methods and Tools for Forecasting in a Commercial Bank

Authors

  • Afenov Nursultan Nugmatillaevich Tashkent State University of Economics Master’s Student
  • Kurdyumov Aleksandr Vasilyevich Scientific supervisor

Keywords:

forecasting, commercial bank, macroeconomic forecasting

Abstract

In an unstable macroeconomic environment, commercial banks face the need to use effective forecasting methods. This paper examines macroeconomic forecasting, econometric models, and digital technologies that help commercial banks minimize risks and enhance the efficiency of strategic management. Particular attention is given to the analysis of modern forecasting tools in banking activities.

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References

1. Базилевич В.Д. "Макроэкономическое прогнозирование: теоретические и практические аспекты". – Москва: Экономика, 2021.

2. Коваленко А.В. "Современные методы эконометрического анализа в банковской сфере". – Санкт-Петербург: Питер, 2020.

3. Набиуллина Э.С. "Цифровая трансформация банковской системы". – Москва: Финансы и кредит, 2022.

4. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. "Principles for Effective Risk Data Aggregation and Risk Reporting". – BIS, 2019.

5. IMF Working Paper. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Bank Stability". – 2023.

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Published

2025-03-18

How to Cite

Methods and Tools for Forecasting in a Commercial Bank. (2025). INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTERDISCIPLINARY SCIENCE, 2(3), 116-119. https://universalconference.us/index.php/icms/article/view/3964